Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000905 0.001032 0.001162 0.001302 0.001450 0.001600 0.001765
2025-04-20 0.000663 0.000846 0.001041 0.001260 0.001498 0.001747 0.002025
2025-04-27 0.000473 0.000692 0.000937 0.001225 0.001547 0.001893 0.002287
2025-05-04 0.000352 0.000600 0.000894 0.001251 0.001661 0.002109 0.002629
2025-05-11 0.000259 0.000528 0.000865 0.001289 0.001789 0.002344 0.002995
2025-05-18 0.000133 0.000385 0.000734 0.001196 0.001760 0.002400 0.003163
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000289 0.000648 0.001150 0.001780 0.002508 0.003388
2025-06-01 0.000018 0.000219 0.000587 0.001128 0.001826 0.002646 0.003647
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000173 0.000552 0.001137 0.001906 0.002823 0.003951
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000144 0.000538 0.001171 0.002019 0.003038 0.004299
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000109 0.000506 0.001176 0.002092 0.003204 0.004591
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000076 0.000468 0.001168 0.002146 0.003348 0.004855
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000049 0.000432 0.001164 0.002209 0.003505 0.005142
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000026 0.000395 0.001155 0.002263 0.003653 0.005420
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000011 0.000360 0.001145 0.002316 0.003799 0.005695
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000006 0.000358 0.001189 0.002441 0.004035 0.006079
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000003 0.000361 0.001241 0.002579 0.004288 0.006482
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001161 0.002529 0.004302 0.006598
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000251 0.001123 0.002536 0.004386 0.006797
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000223 0.001108 0.002573 0.004509 0.007042
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000211 0.001121 0.002651 0.004682 0.007348
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000210 0.001159 0.002765 0.004903 0.007712
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000197 0.001167 0.002833 0.005064 0.008003